U.S. Economy


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    “Welcome To The Contraction”: Q1 GDP Drops By 0.7%, Corporate Profits Crash
    How Social Security Could Help Fix Retirement Inequality
    Economy Shrank 0.7% In The First Quarter
    U.S. Economy Likely Shrank In First Quarter
    Fed Rate Hike In 2015 Not Consistent With Mandate
    Initial Jobless Claims Rise, Miss Expectations – Gone Nowhere Since The End Of QE3
    Crony Capitalism At Work – Boeing Threatens To Leave US If Ex-Im Subsidy Yanked
    U.S. Jobless Claims Up, But Still Point To Labor Market Strength
    Fed’s Williams Expects Above Trend U.S. Growth Rest Of The Year
    Are Hedge Funds Worth More Than Kindergartens?
    We May Be Putting Too Much Trust Into University Degrees
    As IRS Mops Up Data Leak, Years Of Breaches Come Back To Haunt
    Jobless? Blame Corporate America’s Borrowing Binge
    Why California Needs Thirsty Alfalfa
    Durable Goods Orders Slide YoY 4th Month In A Row Despite Dramatic Upward Revisions

    ADP Employment Surges To Best Since Nov 2012

    Today’s epic catch-up in ADP jobs data (nicely extrapolated off the back of last month’s NFP) is the biggest beat since Dec 2012 and biggest gain in jobs since Nov 2012, printing at 281K, up from 179K, and smashing expectations of 205K – in fact the number came above the highest estimate of 250K. While ISMs and PMIs are missing expectations – and notably small businesses in those surveys saying they are not seeing benefits – ADP claims that small businesses gained the most jobs. Of course, we assume the seasonal adjustments had nothing to do with that: from biggest miss in 4 months to biggest beat in 21 months, which is supposedly, normal.

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