U.S. Economy


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    Job Market Doesn’t Justify A Rate Increase
    Record 94 Million Americans Not In The Labor Force
    Not So Fast With Those “Rising Wages”
    2015 Job Layoffs Up 31% Year Over Year In August
    U.S. Adds 173,000 Jobs In August As Unemployment Falls To Seven-Year Low
    U.S. Labor Market Shows Some Muscle Despite Slower Job Growth
    Initial Jobless Claims Jumps Most In 2 Months – Unchanged Since End Of QE3
    The Fed’s Fear Of The Unknown
    Don’t Trust Friday’s U.S. Jobs Report
    Oil Bulls Are Subject To A Hard Fact: U.S. Shale Is A Stubborn Bear
    U.S. Services Sector Expands At Fastest Pace Since May
    Wage Growth Meme Destroyed – Unit Labor Costs Tumble At Fastest Pace In A Year
    ADP Misses Again, Drops YoY For 7th Month In A Row
    U.S. Productivity Rises At Fastest Pace Since End Of 2013
    U.S. Private Sector Adds 190,000 Jobs In August

    ADP Employment Surges To Best Since Nov 2012

    Today’s epic catch-up in ADP jobs data (nicely extrapolated off the back of last month’s NFP) is the biggest beat since Dec 2012 and biggest gain in jobs since Nov 2012, printing at 281K, up from 179K, and smashing expectations of 205K – in fact the number came above the highest estimate of 250K. While ISMs and PMIs are missing expectations – and notably small businesses in those surveys saying they are not seeing benefits – ADP claims that small businesses gained the most jobs. Of course, we assume the seasonal adjustments had nothing to do with that: from biggest miss in 4 months to biggest beat in 21 months, which is supposedly, normal.

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