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  • Low Rates? Get Used To It

    I have been fairly agnostic on several issues related to where interest rates are heading. It has never been my job to forecast where the 10-year yield will be in six months. Not predicting and not caring are two very different things, however. Rates matter a... Read More >>

    Bergdahl’s Defense Is He Was Planning To Come Back

    Former Taliban prisoner and U.S. Army soldier Sergeant Bowe Bergdahl told military investigators that he left his base in June 2009 to report on misconduct in his unit and always intended to come right back. That will also be his defense if and when he faces... Read More >>

    How Saudis Took The Lead In Yemen

    The Saudi Arabian-led intervention into Yemen's civil war Thursday was remarkable for both the size of the coalition involved and the speed with which the plan coalesced. The U.S., which withdrew its last special operations forces from Yemen over the weekend,... Read More >>

    Nigeria’s New President May Be Its Old Dictator

    When Nigerians vote this weekend for their next president, they face a choice between the devil they know and the devil their grandparents knew. The current leader, Goodluck Jonathan, is unpopular. His army, until recently, failed to stop Boko Haram's... Read More >>

    Will Greece Call A Referendum On Euro Membership?

    The rumor mill was alive Friday morning with reports that the resignation of Greek FinMin Yanis Varoufakis was imminent. Unsurprisingly, the Greek government is out calling the reports “unfounded”: Speculation a long way from reality:... Read More >>

    Americans Spent All Their ‘Gas Savings’ On Obamacare

    Last quarter, when we showed what was "The Reason For The "Surge" In Q3 GDP", some were shocked to learn that in the quarter in which U.S. GDP posted a 5 percent surge, it was none other than Obamacare -- a mandatory tax according to the Supreme Court which... Read More >>

    “Serious Depressive Episode” May Have Driven Germanwings Pilot To “Criminal, Mad, Suicidal” Action, Prosecutors Allege

    Andreas Lubitz, the 28-year-old co-pilot who murder-suicided a plane full of 150 people into the Alps, had been judged to have suffered a "serious depressive episode" around the time he suspended his training in 2009, according to internal documents cited by... Read More >>

    Final Q4 GDP Unchanged At 2.2%, Below Expectations; Corporate Profits Tumble

    So much for the "self-sustaining", "escape-velocity" recovery. Again. After rising at an annualized pace of 4.6% and 5.0% in Q2 and Q3, the final Q4 GDP estimate (a number which will still be revised at least 3-4 times in the coming years), slid more than... Read More >>

    Turkey Devolves Into A Full Police State: Law Grants Unlimited Powers To Weaponized Police Force

    While a source of much schadenfreude by its neighbors and casual onlookers, Turkey has become a glaring example of what happens to a formerly respectable nation as it devolves entirely into a banana republic with not only authoritarian overtones but a police... Read More >>

    China Hard Landing: Blame The Smog

    Earlier this week, we got further evidence of just how quickly China’s economy is slowing down (hard landing anyone?) when the March manufacturing PMI printed in contraction territory, the employment sub index dove to Lehman levels, and rail freight fell... Read More >>

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