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		<title>The Tech Titan That&#8217;s Taking It to Apple</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/20/the-tech-titan-thats-taking-it-to-apple/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 05:02:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>GS Early</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberty Investor Alert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observation & Opinion]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[There's no doubt that Apple (AAPL) has had its run for the past decade. CEO Tim Cook is promising big things, but the question is whether he can deliver or whether Apple goes the way of Intel and becomes a cash-rich tech income stock.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2396&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s no doubt that <strong>Apple (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=AAPL">AAPL</a>)</strong> has had its run for the past decade. Its hardware and software have been a beautiful marriage of accessible design and cutting-edge technology.</p>
<p>But markets change, consumers and competitors adapt, and the things that used to be <em>de rigueur</em> are now quaint memories.</p>
<p>All the tech titans have been challenged to constantly lead the pack, or at least run with it, to stay viable. A great example has been <strong>Intel (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=INTC" target="_blank">INTC</a>)</strong>.</p>
<p>Since the dot-com bubble burst, the company has been fighting new low-power chip makers and a market that has become more of a commodities play (on silicon prices) than it has a technology play.</p>
<p>To that end, Intel has become more a dividend play than a growth play in the tech space as people switch from traditionally Intel-dominated markets like servers, desktops and laptops to smartphones and tablets. The stock is up slightly more than 20 percent in the past decade.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s not much growth. A stable 3.7 percent dividend, yes, but growth? Not much.</p>
<p><strong>Yawnware Meets Vaporware?</strong></p>
<p>We&#8217;ve recently seen the same thing with Apple. CEO Tim Cook is promising big things, but the question is whether he can deliver or whether Apple goes the way of Intel and becomes a cash-rich tech income stock.</p>
<p>When innovation becomes iterative and it&#8217;s simply about launching for sales, it&#8217;s tough to stay on the vanguard or appeal to customers who want to be on the cutting edge.</p>
<p>In a recent article in <a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/16/is-apples-next-big-thing-vaporware/">Money Morning</a>, Michael Robinson addressed this very issue:</p>
<blockquote><p>
 In Silicon Valley, there&#8217;s a term for products that a company makes bold statements about and always seem on the cusp of launching but never quite materialize &#8212; vaporware.</p>
<p> And believe me, over the decades there have been more vaporware companies than real ones.</p>
<p> What&#8217;s more, it&#8217;s not uncommon for once-respected names to become vaporware makers over time.</p>
<p> One of the big questions now is, with the death of visionary Steve Jobs, the growing Android base, and the next generation in smartphones, is the &quot;Next Big Thing&quot; for <strong>Apple Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=AAPL" target="_blank">AAPL</a>) nothing more than vaporware?</p>
<p> For investors slammed by the stock&#8217;s 39% decline from its 2012 high, the question is hardly rhetorical.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>But I&#8217;m not here to ring the death knell for Apple.</p>
<p>My point is there is a tech titan that is still actually growing in its traditional markets and expanding into new ones, challenging the major players in these sectors and pumping money into research and development to maintain its cutting edge for decades to come.</p>
<p>What company am I talking about?</p>
<p><strong>Google (GOOG)</strong>.</p>
<p>This week at its annual developers conference, Google managed to move beyond the buzz of its 2012 bombshell, Google Glass, and announce that it&#8217;s going into the subscription music business against Pandora and Spotify.</p>
<p>This is going to make it tough for not only the two at the top, but also the smaller services hoping to crack into the big time. Although, there is the possibility that Google will add to market share by buying up some of the smaller players &#8212; or perhaps buying one of the bigger players.</p>
<p>For a while, Google has had a music service that&#8217;s more in the iTunes model available on Google Play; but this new service would broaden that concept. Word has it that the company has signed deals with Universal Music, Sony Entertainment and Warner Music Group to give people unlimited access to certain libraries of their songs for a fee.</p>
<p><strong>Don&#8217;t Forget The Base</strong></p>
<p>And while it&#8217;s broadening its commercial retail base, it hasn&#8217;t forgotten how it got to where it is.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s going back to its roots and innovating its core products. That&#8217;s encouraging. Many times, in a diverse technology company the dangers are never moving far enough from your core tech or are moving too far away from your core tech.</p>
<p>Google has neither of those challenges. And until recently, the only one that could match Google&#8217;s vision and research and development pipeline was Apple. Google can still be iterative as it expands, and that&#8217;s a very good thing.</p>
<p>For example, although it&#8217;s already the world leader in search, one of Google&#8217;s big stories at the developers conference was that its upgrading its search service.</p>
<p>And it&#8217;s upgrading its other big service, navigation and maps. Integrating more personal data and user data, Maps will offer a more personal and more information through photos and augmented reality information.</p>
<p><strong>The Long Now</strong></p>
<p> There&#8217;s a project going on in San Francisco developed by the <a href="http://longnow.org/">Long Now Foundation</a> to build a clock that will run for 10,000 years on its own. </p>
<p>The point of the project is to stretch our idea of technology from the &#8220;short now&#8221; of today and next month or next year to the &#8220;long now&#8221; of centuries or eons.</p>
<p>And these are the companies that will be able to endure as well. The companies that aren&#8217;t looking to hit every quarter&#8217;s numbers because they have their sights set on broader goals are going to be the companies that hit their numbers, because they&#8217;re not hamstrung by today&#8217;s goals and are working for tomorrow&#8217;s.</p>
<p><em>&#8211; GS Early</em></p>
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			<media:title type="html">greggearlyli</media:title>
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		<title>Master Limited Partnerships: Looking Back And Looking Ahead</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/20/master-limited-partnerships-looking-back-and-looking-ahead/</link>
		<comments>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/20/master-limited-partnerships-looking-back-and-looking-ahead/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 05:01:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roger S. Conrad</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Despite the dramatic changes that have occurred in the universe of publicly trade partnerships since the 1980s, the basic appeal of this security class to investors has remained the same: above-average yields and significant tax advantages. But finding securities that offer above-average yields and reliable quarterly payouts has become increasingly difficult.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2399&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The master limited partnership&#8217;s (MLP) lineage dates back to 1981, when exploration and production outfit&nbsp;<strong>Apache Corp</strong>&nbsp;(<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=APC">APC</a>) consolidated 33 of its oil and gas operations into this structure.</p>
<p>In the mid-1980s, the universe of publicly traded partnerships differed dramatically from the options available to today&#8217;s investors. With no limitations on what assets and operating businesses could adopt the MLP structure, the universe of publicly traded partnerships expanded rapidly and included restaurants, nursing homes, shopping centers, forest products and amusement parks. Even professional sports franchises got in on the action, with Boston Celtics LP raising $48 million in an initial public offering shortly after the team won the 1985-86 NBA championship.</p>
<p>Alarmed by the upsurge in companies converting to MLPs or spinning off assets into this tax-advantaged structure, Congress passed the Tax Reform Act of 1986 and the Revenue Act of 1987, which sought to prevent a diminution of the corporate tax base. This legislation requires publicly traded partnerships to generate at least 90 percent of their gross income from &#8220;qualifying&#8221; sources, the majority of which relate to the production, processing and transportation of oil, gas and other natural resources.</p>
<p>Despite the dramatic changes that have occurred in the universe of publicly traded partnerships since the 1980s, the basic appeal of this security class to investors has remained the same: above-average yields and significant tax advantages. These qualities, coupled with the current market environment and investor psychology, explain the increasing popularity of publicly traded partnerships.</p>
<p><strong>The Search For More Yield: MLPs And Investor Psychology</strong></p>
<p>In a March 1987 article published in <em>The&nbsp;Wall Street Journal</em>, Barbara Donnelly wrote: &#8220;Investment bankers specializing in [master limited] partnerships say that in order to be competitive an issue must offer a current return of 9 percent to 10 percent.&#8221;</p>
<p>Twenty-five years later, it&#8217;s still all about the yield for many investors, especially as retiring baby boomers shift their focus from accruing assets to transforming accumulated savings into a reliable income stream.</p>
<p>But finding securities that offer above-average yields and reliable quarterly payouts has become increasingly difficult. With the Federal Reserve holding the Federal funds rate near zero percent, bank certificates of deposit and U.S. Treasury bills offer plenty of safety but negligible current returns. Meanwhile, yield to maturities in the U.S. corporate bond market ensure that issuers enjoy a relatively low cost of capital. Bond investors seeking a high current return, on the other hand, must focus on lower-quality credits.</p>
<p>Accordingly, yield-hungry investors have gravitated toward equities. Within the pantheon of dividend-paying stocks, MLPs have historically offered higher yields relative to utilities and real estate investment trusts (REIT).</p>
<p>The Alerian MLP Index, a capitalization-weighted basket of 50 energy-focused MLPs, yields 6.02 percent, whereas the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Utility Index sports a current return of 4.33 percent and the Bloomberg North American REIT Index yields 3.55 percent.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, many income-seeking investors remain scarred by the stock-market implosion that accompanied the global credit crunch and the Great Recession, a trying period that serves as a reminder of the risks involved in dividend investing. Few will forget the panic that ensued when the credit bubble finally burst, forcing corporate titans such as&nbsp;<strong>Bank of America Corp.</strong>&nbsp;(<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=BAC">BAC</a>) and&nbsp;<strong>General Electric</strong>&nbsp;(<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=GE">GE</a>) to slash their quarterly dividends.</p>
<p>In contrast, energy-focused MLPs emerged from this extreme stress test largely unscathed, with the majority managing to maintain their quarterly distributions despite frozen credit markets, the worst economic downturn in a generation, and collapsing oil and natural-gas prices.</p>
<p>Midstream MLPs that derive the majority of their distributable cash flow from pipelines and other fee-generating assets proved the most resilient during these trying times, though upstream operators that hedged the majority of their production also weathered the storm.</p>
<p>More important, energy-focused MLPs have mitigated some of the pressure points that squeezed the group during the credit crunch and Great Recession.</p>
<p>Some MLPs that gather and process natural gas suffered when commodity prices plummeted. Gathering systems comprise small-diameter pipelines that transport natural gas from individual wells to the pipeline network and processing plants. This business line can come under pressure when the price of natural gas declines to levels that prompt producers to rein in drilling activity, a move that reduces new well connections and throughput on the gathering system.</p>
<p> Processing plants separate natural gas liquids (NGL) &#8212; a heavier group of hydrocarbons that includes propane, ethane and butane &#8212; from the raw natural gas. The degree to which this business is exposed to fluctuations in commodity prices hinges on how the processor structures its contracts with producers. At the time, the industry favored agreements that compensated processors based on the value of NGLs produced.</p>
<p>Chastened by this experience, MLPs that own gathering and processing assets have sought to shift their contract mix in favor of fee-based agreements that guarantee a minimum level of cash flow and limit exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices.</p>
<p>Publicly traded partnerships also faced liquidity constraints. Private investments in public entities (PIPE) became a popular way for MLPs to fund acquisitions and growth projects in 2006 and 2007.</p>
<p>In a PIPE deal, the MLP would sell equity directly to private buyers such as hedge funds at a discounted price. Although the lock-up periods associated with these transactions helped MLPs to avoid the knee-jerk selloffs that occur in secondary offerings, this source of funding dried up during the credit crunch and a wave of selling by liquidity-constrained institutional investors sent unit prices plummeting.</p>
<p>In the wake of the credit crunch, the majority of MLPs have shored up their balance sheets, replacing PIPE funding with credit facilities, bond offerings and secondary issues.</p>
<p>Not surprisingly, the financial-services industry has been quick to capitalize on investor demand for MLPs, offering more than 50 fund products that focus exclusively on this security class or allocate a significant portion of their investable assets to the group. Thirty-five of these funds have launched since 2010, a testament to investors&#8217; demand for MLPs.</p>
<p>The marketing literature associated with these funds often touts the above-average yields offered by MLPs while extolling the reliable streams of cash flow generated by these toll-road businesses. This messaging has resonated with investors, while the fee revenue garnered from these fund products has been a bright spot for asset management firms.</p>
<p><em>&#8211;Roger S. Conrad</em></p>
<p>Roger S. Conrad is co-founder and co-editor of <a href="https://www.energyandincomeadvisor.com/"><em>Energy &amp; Income Advisor</em></a>, your complete guide to energy investing.</p>
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			<media:title type="html">rogerconrad</media:title>
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		<title>Have An Idea? Crowdfunding Might Help Get It Off The Ground</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/20/have-an-idea-crowdfunding-might-help-get-it-off-the-ground/</link>
		<comments>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/20/have-an-idea-crowdfunding-might-help-get-it-off-the-ground/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 05:01:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sam Rolley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Small Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trends & Ideas]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[One of the most daunting tasks for anyone looking to start a new business or develop a new product is figuring out where the financial backing for the project is going to come from. While traditional bank loans and investment deals remain as options, the wonderful world of the Internet has created a viable alternative for a whole new generation of the start-up obsessed: crowdfunding.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2402&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the most daunting tasks for anyone looking to start a new business or develop a new product is figuring out where the financial backing for the project is going to come from. While traditional bank loans and investment deals remain as options, the wonderful world of the Internet has created a viable alternative for a whole new generation of the start-up obsessed: crowdfunding.</p>
<p>Crowdfunding allows people with good ideas to present their business plans to a mass audience of investors, along with incentives to financially back the project that veer away from interest, stock or profit shares, which are more traditional ways to attract investors.</p>
<p>Now, websites like Kickstarter, the most widely recognizable crowdfunding platform, and others, like the smaller ClickStartMe, give people with ideas the potential to raise money by convincing others to contribute small donations. The idea is to rack up a high number of small contributions with the promise of returning the favor with a small gift once the project is complete, rather than going to a bank or vice capital firm in search of a large lump sum with strings attached that could make or break the idea.</p>
<p>&#8220;With crowdfunding, most donors expect something in exchange for their financial support,&#8221; said Kendall Almerico, CEO of ClickStartMe. &#8220;Rewards are best when they are personal or unique to a project.&#8221;</p>
<p>Most crowdfunding platforms allow as many reward options and corresponding donation requirements as the person seeking capital wishes to list. Usually, the larger the donation amount, the more tangible the reward. Donors could also pay for experiences, like meeting the project creators or being a part of the project in some way. Rewards are best when they are personal or unique to a project, according to crowdfunding experts.</p>
<p>While crowdfunding is not much different than entrepreneurs of yesteryear pitching business ideas to uncles and grandparents at the family reunion, the number of possible supporters who can be reached in the online incarnation is near limitless thanks to online social networking.</p>
<p>Crowdfunding sites do charge a modest fee, but with a solid project plan and a savvy rewards incentive for donors, most start-ups have nothing to lose.</p>
<p>If you have an idea, and you think crowdfunding may be what you need to make it a reality, check out the sites below:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://www.kickstarter.com/" target="_blank"><strong>Kickstarter</strong></a><strong>:</strong> Has raised a total of $220 million from 61,000 launched projects so far and is browsed by thousands of people (potential investors) daily. To protect project creators from facing obligations despite lack of funding, the site returns all donations if the pre-set funding goal for a project is not reached.</li>
<li><a href="http://www.indiegogo.com/" target="_blank"><strong>Indiegogo</strong></a><strong>: </strong>Uses PayPal as the payment option for receiving funds and includes a funding plan called <em>Flexible Funding</em>, which allows projects to receive donated funds (for a higher fee) even if the project has failed to reach the funding goal. <strong></strong></li>
<li><a href="http://www.clickstartme.com/" target="_blank"><strong>ClickStartMe</strong></a><strong>: </strong>In addition to creating a platform for people to find funding for their ideas, for a price ClickStartMe provides services to help spread the word about projects via social networking and other outreach efforts.</li>
</ul>
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			<media:title type="html">samrolleypl</media:title>
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		<title>Stop Overpaying And Underinsuring</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/17/stop-overpaying-and-underinsuring/</link>
		<comments>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/17/stop-overpaying-and-underinsuring/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 May 2013 05:01:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bob Carlson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Insurance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberty Investor Alert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal Finance]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Successful Americans are paying too much for insurance yet don't have enough coverage. Those are the findings of a recent survey from ACE Private Risk Services.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2374&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Successful Americans are paying too much for insurance yet don&#8217;t have enough coverage. Those are the findings of a recent survey from ACE Private Risk Services.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s easy to see how the situation developed. Most successful people didn&#8217;t start that way. In their young-adult years, they did the responsible thing and bought the insurance they needed. The purchases generally were made through mass market insurers and agents. The trouble is the insurers and brokers didn&#8217;t grow in the same direction as the clients.</p>
<p>Now, the clients are successful professionals and business owners with significant investable assets, homes and businesses. Their needs aren&#8217;t being met by mass-market insurers and agents. That&#8217;s why these clients are paying too much yet are underinsured.</p>
<p>Insurers and brokers experienced in dealing with successful people often can reduce costs while improving coverage across the board, according to the ACE survey. A majority of brokers surveyed said they typically reduce a new client&#8217;s premiums by 5 percent.</p>
<p>Here are the actions typically overlooked by successful people who haven&#8217;t had an experienced adviser comprehensively review their coverage in recent years.</p>
<p><strong>Increase deductibles.</strong> Raising deductibles reduces premiums. Low deductibles make some sense in the early adult years when cash is tight and there isn&#8217;t a cushion of savings. But later in life, many people can handle a higher deductible when there is a covered incident. Unless you&#8217;re very accident prone, you&#8217;ll save more money long-term by raising deductibles to reduce premiums. You can do the math for individual policies; but generally if you avoid a claim for a few years after raising the deductible, the premium savings in the ensuing years will make up for owing the higher deductible. Avoid a claim even longer, and you come out ahead.</p>
<p><strong>Safety discounts.</strong> Many people have loss-prevention or safety devices that qualify for insurance discounts, or they easily could obtain the devices. Burglar alarms and leak-detection systems are two common examples of features in the homes of many successful people that they don&#8217;t think to notify the insurer about. An insurer or broker who is used to dealing with this group will first go through a checklist of such devices to ask which ones the client has and then will advise which additional features would be cost-effective to obtain.</p>
<p><strong>Consolidation.</strong> Discounts are available when a person or household purchases more than one policy from the same insurer. Some insurers that specialize in one type of coverage will form a partnership with insurers in other specialties to offer consolidation discounts. When you&#8217;re using more than one insurer, research the discounts available for consolidating coverage at one of them.</p>
<p><strong>Umbrella liability.</strong> Most people don&#8217;t have enough liability coverage. Their only coverage is the standard limit in the homeowner&#8217;s insurance. As a successful person, you&#8217;re a target for lawsuits based on actions taken by you and your family. Even inaction can result in a lawsuit alleging you negligently failed to remove a hazard or take other action. Umbrella liability insurance is relatively cheap and will protect the assets accumulated over your lifetime. Some professions are more vulnerable to lawsuits than others. The more activities you engage in, the more likely you are to be sued for something. Even a public service or charitable activity, such as serving on the board of a homeowners&#8217; association or youth athletic league, can result in a liability.</p>
<p><strong>Home coverage limits.</strong> Agents report that most people have inadequate coverage for when a home is fully or substantially destroyed. It likely will cost more to rebuild your home than the home&#8217;s market value, especially if it is older and would need to be brought into compliance with current building codes. Building codes generally are more detailed and more expensive to comply with. When a home needs substantial rehabilitation or improvement, it often has to be brought in compliance with current building codes.</p>
<p><strong>Personal property coverage. </strong>Standard homeowner&#8217;s policies have limited coverage for the contents of a home. The standard coverage formula is fine for young adults with few personal possessions to replace. But the cost of replacing the contents of <i>your</i> home likely is far more than their current value and probably much more than the standard policy limit would cover.</p>
<p><strong>Protection from the uninsured.</strong> You or a family member could be harmed by a person without insurance or assets to pay for the damages. Be sure your auto policy in particular has adequate uninsured motorist&#8217;s coverage.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s easy to fix these shortcomings. Meet with an insurance agent who is experienced working with well-off people. If you&#8217;re like most people, you&#8217;re likely to end up with more complete coverage at a lower cost.</p>
<p><i>&#8211; Bob Carlson</i></p>
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		<title>The Return Of The Bond Vigilante&#8230; In Japan</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/17/the-return-of-the-bond-vigilante-in-japan/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 17 May 2013 05:01:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Berwick</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Liberty Investor Alert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Personal Finance]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[On April 11, <em>The Dollar Vigilante</em> went public stating that shorting Japanese Government Bonds was an effective means of “profiting from The End Of The Monetary System As We Know It". Less than a month later, on May 10, after a month replete with numerous halts of the market over intraday crashes, Japanese Government Bonds had their worst day in the past five years. Yields rose higher by 11 basis points to 70 basis points in the 10-year bond and ended up 10 basis points higher on the day.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2378&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong></strong><i>Original blog can be found <a href="http://dollarvigilante.com/blog/2013/5/13/in-gold-and-shorting-japanese-government-debt-we-trust.html" target="_blank">HERE</a></i></p>
<p><strong>[Editor's Note: The following post is by TDV Editor-in-Chief, Jeff Berwick]</strong></p>
<p>On April 11, <em>The Dollar Vigilante</em> went public stating that shorting Japanese government bonds (JGBs) was an effective means of “profiting from The End Of The Monetary System As We Know It&#8221; (TEOTMSAWKI).</p>
<p>Less than a month later, on May 10, after a month replete with numerous halts of the market over intraday crashes, JBGs had their worst day in the past five years. Yields rose higher by 11 basis points to 70 basis points in the 10-year bond and ended up 10 basis points higher on the day.</p>
<p class="rtecenter"><img style="width:550px;height:330px;" alt="" src="http://dollarvigilante.com/sites/default/files/images/JGBHalt(1).jpg" /></p>
<p>And, of course, the value of the bonds is inverse to the interest rate. That is a 16 percent rise in the interest rate level in a matter of hours. That is a massive move in the bond market.</p>
<p><strong>An Accident Waiting For A Place To Happen</strong></p>
<p>Traders should take note of JGB prices. On April 4, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) made the announcement that it intended to <i>double</i> the money supply and buy government bonds roughly equaling $80 billion a month. Does this number sound familiar? It should, since the U.S. Federal Reserve’s own quantitative easing program is roughly $85 billion a month. An important point to remember is that the Japanese economy is only one-third the size of the U.S. economy, but its own quantitative easing program equals that of the United States. To say Japan is “doubling down” on the same failed policy approach it has taken for the past 20 years would be a bit of a misnomer. This is Japan’s “all in” move, as I try to keep the gambling metaphor rolling. A gamble is exactly what this is, a very big gamble with no precedent in economic history.</p>
<p>What are the consequences of rapidly increasing government spending, monetizing $80 billion a month in debt and flooding the market with yen? It is hard to miss the headlines as the yen on the futures exchange is now trading at below 100 yen to the U.S. dollar for the first time in four years.</p>
<p class="rtecenter"><img style="width:550px;height:245px;" alt="" src="http://dollarvigilante.com/sites/default/files/images/japanyen.jpg" /></p>
<p>Here is some news that you won&#8217;t read in the mainstream financial papers. JGBs are trading lower now than they were after the April 4 BOJ announcement that they would buy a massive amount of JGBs. Huh? How can that happen? If the BOJ announced it would be a huge <i>buyer</i> of JGBs, then how can the price be going down? Well, it has. Since the April 4 announcement, 10-year JGB futures have hit downside circuit breakers no less than seven times as sellers overwhelmed the market with orders.</p>
<p><strong>The Return Of The Bond Vigilante</strong></p>
<p>Why are bonds trading lower? Think about this from a prudent lender’s point of view, and you will have your answer. If I give you yen and you give me a security (bond) that says you will give me back my yen with interest in 10 years, then why would I sit with that security and let you pay me back with a devalued currency? Well, in Japan bondholders appear to be speaking with their market participation. Bond holders are doing exactly what they should be doing. Bond holders should be liquidating bonds and converting money out of yen into non-yen-denominated securities and investments (note all the mergers and acquisitions activity from Japanese companies in the past seven months as the smart money runs &#8212; not walks &#8212; out of Japan and the yen).</p>
<p>How can the savers in Japan be sitting idly by and watching the purchasing power of their savings being destroyed? We are on the first chapter of a very ugly time in Japan where policymakers’ decisions will strain the very social fabric of the country. We will have a front-row seat to the failings of the Keynesian economic philosophy. It will not be pretty for Japan. And it could very well be the first major event in TEOTMSAWKI.</p>
<p><strong>Surviving And Profiting From TEOTMSAWKI</strong></p>
<p>We have many strategies to survive TEOTMSAWKI including things like precious metals, preferably with a significant amount of them internationalized to protect from political risk (see <a href="http://goldoutofdodge.com/TDV9437N7K6/" target="_blank">Getting Your Gold Out Of Dodge</a>) and foreign real estate, such as at <a href="http://galtsgulchchile.com/TDV9437N7K6/" target="_blank">Galt&#8217;s Gulch in Chile</a>.</p>
<p>Those are mostly defensive.</p>
<p>In order to profit from TEOTMSAWKI, we also have speculative bets on things like gold mining stocks. We also think that shorting Japanese government debt could bring spectacular returns over the coming years.</p>
<p><strong>How To Short Japanese Government Debt</strong></p>
<p>The tricky part to making massive gains with shorting JGBs is that you need to understand all the risks and intricacies of the futures market. Very, very few people have enough experience to do this safely, and we don&#8217;t recommend you do it on your own.</p>
<p>We suggest you use an expert like a financial adviser or broker, but only if they truly are experts in the field. Most brokers and advisers do not know how to trade these markets to limit risk, and many people can lose their shirts if it is done wrong.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why we suggest you look to an expert to manage this trade. We&#8217;ve identified one of the most suitable as being Tres Knippa of <a href="http://shortjapandebt.com" target="_blank">ShortJapanDebt.com</a>. Not only is he an expert futures trader, but he intricately follows and focuses solely on shorting Japanese government debt and operates managed accounts for suitable clientelle.</p>
<p>For <em>The Dollar Vigilante</em> subscribers, we&#8217;ll be conducting an in-depth interview with Knippa this week to lay out all the risks and rewards.</p>
<p>What we are seeing in Japan may be the first return of bond vigilantes to the bond markets since the 1970s. We&#8217;ll be watching closely as things progress for the first major crack toward TEOTMSAWKI&#8230; and hoping to profit immensely from it.</p>
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		<title>How America&#8217;s Largest Retailers Know More About Your Family Than You Do</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/17/how-americas-largest-retailers-know-more-about-your-family-than-you-do/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 17 May 2013 05:01:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andy Obermueller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Liberty Investor Alert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spending & Saving]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Retailers have complicated algorithms that carefully analyze massive amounts of purchasing data. They can discern buying patterns and draw highly specific marketing conclusions. As an investor, all you need to know is this: Information is the most important and valuable commodity on Earth, and it always has been.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2376&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is a true story. A man walks into a Target store and asks to see the manager. The manager asks if he can help, and the man produces an advertisement that his daughter received in the mail at their home. It was for diapers, wet wipes, strollers and other baby gear.</p>
<p>&#8220;My daughter is only 16,&#8221; the man said. &#8220;Why are you sending this stuff?&#8221;</p>
<p>The manager apologized profusely and offered a vague explanation. The man nodded and left. A few days later, the manager, who was bothered by the entire situation, called the man to once again offer apologies.</p>
<p>&#8220;Well, it appears that I complained too soon,&#8221; the man said. &#8220;Evidently, there are some things going on in my house that I wasn&#8217;t fully aware of. My daughter is due in May. So I guess my only question is how you knew before I did?&#8221;</p>
<p>The manager again offered a vague explanation, but the truth is that retailers like Target have complicated algorithms that carefully analyze massive amounts of purchasing data. They can discern buying patterns and draw highly specific marketing conclusions.</p>
<p>In this case, the man&#8217;s daughter had bought a number of items in one transaction that expectant mothers tend to buy. Armed with this data and other customer information, the retailer can send out highly targeted marketing material &#8212; material designed, in this case, to create a strong bond with a potentially lucrative long-term customer.</p>
<p>Today, retailers are very careful with this sort of customer information. They still analyze the data and they still make these sorts of conclusions, but they will include other offers to mask the intention of the targeted campaign &#8212; a coupon for dog food, say, or patio furniture and other seasonal items.</p>
<p>The truth is retailers like <strong>Target (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=TGT" target="_Blank">TGT</a></strong>), <strong>Wal-Mart (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=WMT" target="_Blank">WMT</a>)</strong>, <strong>J.C. Penny (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=JCP" target="_Blank">JCP</a></strong>) and others use &#8220;Big Data&#8221; to know exactly the kind of ads to get in front of you. But what they don&#8217;t want is consumers to know just how much they know about them. Just think how much I could tell about you by examining what you bought at the grocery store. If you think that loyalty card is there to give you a discount, think again. This is how supermarket mailings are eerily matched to the same stuff you typically buy.</p>
<p>As an investor, all you need to know is this:<b> </b>Information is the most important and valuable commodity on Earth, and it always has been.</p>
<p>The only difference is that now an entirely new industry is arising that promises to change the way we eat, play and live – and, perhaps most importantly for investors, how we do business.</p>
<p>Today, the ability to use massive amounts of data and strain it into something resembling intelligence &#8212; even for something as mundane as what you buy at the grocery store &#8212; is a large, growing and dynamic industry.</p>
<p>Essentially, it is the job of a Big Data to store large amounts of information, enable its easy analysis and aid in the presentation of the data&#8217;s results.</p>
<p>In 2010, Big Data was a $3.2 billion industry. But research firm IDC expects it to grow more than 428 percent to $16.9 billion by 2015. That&#8217;s a scorching 40 percent per-year growth rate.</p>
<p>So what is the best way for investors to capitalize on this opportunity?</p>
<p>Massachusetts-based <strong>EMC Corp. (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=EMC" target="_Blank">EMC</a>) </strong>is the 800-pound gorilla of Big Data, with $50 billion of market capitalization and annual revenues in excess of $20 billion. It&#8217;s admirably profitable.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s just one problem. With the company as large as it is today, the company&#8217;s growth prospects have diminished somewhat, though they ought to mirror the industry&#8217;s growth going forward.</p>
<p>Another option is a much smaller company, <strong>Emulex Corp. (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=ELX" target="_Blank">ELX</a>)</strong>. This company has a market capitalization of $529 million &#8212; about a hundredth of EMC&#8217;s. The share price during the past 52 weeks has been volatile, with a low of $5.72 and a high of $8.67. Its recent price of $5.84 puts it near the bottom of its range for the year.</p>
<p>Even with the stock&#8217;s recent losses, the company&#8217;s fundamentals are favorable. Revenues last year came in just above a half-billion dollars (a record), which represents a 9.9 percent compound annual growth rate during the previous three years. The balance sheet shows a modest amount of cash, no long-term debt and roughly static shareholder equity for the past several years.</p>
<p><strong>Action to Take &#8211;&gt;</strong> Big Data has scope; it touches every sector of the economy. I expect companies like EMC and Emulex to be at the forefront of this technology, pushing the outer bounds of what we thought was possible with data &#8212; and delivering substantial profits for investors in the process.</p>
<p><i>&#8211; Andy Obermueller</i></p>
<p><strong>P.S. &#8211;</strong> Just one high-capacity data storage device &#8212; like the ones EMC and Emulex make &#8212; contains more data than existed on the planet just three years ago. And in five or 10 years, it&#8217;s possible that maybe only three or four companies will own 99 percent of the data storage market. In a recent issue of <a href="http://web.streetauthority.com/m/gc/egc13/gcs-sample.asp?TC=GC1610" target="_blank"><strong><i>Game-Changing </i><i>Stocks</i></strong></a><strong>,</strong> I gave a review of four stocks in this space that I think could profit from a golden age for Big Data. To learn how to get this issue and also get my latest report for more groundbreaking investment plays, <strong><a href="http://web.streetauthority.com/m/gc/egc13/gcs-sample.asp?TC=GC1610" target="_blank">click here.</a></strong></p>
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		<title>Right Place, Right Time, Right Stock</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/15/right-place-right-time-right-stock/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 05:02:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil George</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberty Investor Alert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observation & Opinion]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[You want and need income from your portfolio, and you're not alone. Investors have been on a tear, seeking out bigger-dividend-paying stocks and bidding them up in short order. When it comes to bigger dividends, real estate investment trusts (REITs) have benefitted from this drive for income.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2363&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You want and need income from your portfolio, and you&#8217;re not alone. Investors have been on a tear, seeking out bigger-dividend-paying stocks and bidding them up in short order.</p>
<p>When it comes to bigger dividends, real estate investment trusts (REITs) have benefitted from this drive for income. Prices for REITs have been soaring as investors have been seeking out the tax-advantaged dividends paid by them as well as taking advantage of recovering segments of the underlying real estate property assets.</p>
<p>Just take a look at the general market for REITs tracked by the Bloomberg REIT Index (BBREIT).</p>
<div align="center"><img width="417" height="299" src="http://plimages.blob.core.windows.net/images/LibertyInvestor/George_chart_BBREIT.jpg" alt="BBREIT" /></div>
<p>
 Year to date, the REIT market has been climbing by some 16 percent, continuing an upward trend that&#8217;s been going on for the past year. With the additional benefits of the higher dividends, the total return for REITs is running at an annual rate of more than 55 percent.</p>
<p>But just because the market is up big doesn&#8217;t mean that you should throw your investment cash at it, chasing returns and dividends.</p>
<p>Instead, investing in REITs and real estate companies is just like any other business. You need to understand what you&#8217;re buying and why, and don&#8217;t just say you&#8217;re buying it because it has a good dividend. </p>
<p>With REITs going up in price, yields for the broad market have been coming down. The average yield for the Bloomberg REIT index is now down to 3.24 percent.</p>
<p>That said, there are still plenty of real estate trusts with bigger dividend yields as well as the strong potential for further gains from underlying property assets; but we all need to understand what&#8217;s a value and what&#8217;s worth the risk.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s start with some gauges for evaluating REITs, starting with the underlying value of their net assets. Book value, the net measure of the properties relative to liabilities, has continued to rise across the market. </p>
<p>The market&#8217;s bidding up many of the stock prices of the overall REIT market has, in effect, ramped up how much of a premium it will pay for the average REIT. </p>
<p>Right now, the U.S. average is sitting at more than 2.5 times the underlying net assets. That&#8217;s a hefty premium, as it wasn&#8217;t that many years ago when that measure was less than half of the current market.</p>
<p>Seeking big-bargain REITs with a discount to their underlying book of property assets is extremely hard and now will more likely result in a stock that has measurable trouble. </p>
<p>Even those that trade at a discount to the average premium over book value must prove their worth in order to justify the premium. Investors need to see that the underlying properties are generating rising revenues, thus justifying eventually higher prices and values. </p>
<p>To find a REIT that&#8217;s still valued below the average for the general market with a higher level of revenue growth, I want you to look no further than one of my favorite companies in the commercial real estate market. <strong>W.P. Carey (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=WPC" target="_blank">WPC</a>)</strong> is set up as another form of a pass-through like a REIT via the limited liability company (LLC) structure, which provides all of the benefits of REITs with added tax benefits for investors.</p>
<div align="center"><img width="456" height="327" src="http://plimages.blob.core.windows.net/images/LibertyInvestor/George_chart_WPC.jpg" alt="WPC" /></div>
<p>The company is the leader in sale and lease back transactions of major commercial buildings from administrative to distribution to retail properties. It operates in the United States and other select markets.</p>
<p>Sale and lease back deals are an innovative means for companies that own real estate to liquefy it, allowing them to release cash and capital on their balance sheets for other more productive uses. </p>
<p>The deals typically go like this. Say Amazon (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=AMZN" target="_blank">AMZN</a>) owns a distribution center. Rather than let it sit on the company&#8217;s balance sheet, it will sell it to W.P. Carey and then lease it back.</p>
<p>Amazon frees up cash for further business development, and it benefits from tax deductions of lease payments made to W.P. Carey each year.</p>
<p>W.P. Carey gets a quality property asset from a known company and turns around and books a long-term lease (known as a triple-net lease), while the tenant (in this case, Amazon) pays all the expenses of the property from maintenance to utilities to taxes.</p>
<p>During times of business struggles, W.P. Carey buys deals at good prices. Later, during more flush times, it can lease the properties at higher rates and gain the appreciation of the underlying property values over time. The company has been doing this for decades. At first, it operated privately. Then, in the late 1990s, the company brought out a publicly traded company to broaden its investor base.</p>
<p>I became a fan of the company not long after it came to the public market on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol WPC in 1998. In addition, I got to know the company firsthand in great meetings with management and discussions with the founder, William Polk Carey.</p>
<p>Carey, who died recently, was a great real estate investor. He educated and trained the team that continues to carry out the transactions of the company. </p>
<p>The results continue to come in. With revenues up more than 14.1 percent and assets soaring by more than 200 percent, the company is building up its book of assets and making them pay well. It&#8217;s generating a dividend flow that&#8217;s up more than 20 percent in just the past year alone.</p>
<p>The average REIT&#8217;s return on assets is less than 1.8 percent; W.P. Carey&#8217;s is more than 2 percent. The average REIT&#8217;s return on shareholder equity is barely above 4 percent; W.P. Carey&#8217;s is more than 4.7 percent.</p>
<p>While the dividend has been rising consistently over the past three years in terms of overall cash paid, the stock price has been running up as well. The current yield, sitting at 4.34 percent, is much better than the average for the REIT market at only 3.24 percent.</p>
<p>From a price performance basis, the overall return for W.P. Carey is up more than 394 percent in just the past 10 years alone nearly twice the return of REIT markets overall.</p>
<p>Since its listing in 1998, W.P. Carey has generated an overall return of more than 920 percent. That means the company has been delivering an average annual return of more than 16 percent for each and every year in the market. That dividend is still good and still rising.</p>
<p>Since W.P. Carey owns the right real estate in the right locations at the right prices and stays focused on shareholders, it might be the right stock right now for your portfolio under 85 a share.</p>
<p><em>&mdash; Neil George</em></p>
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		<title>Saving Money Is Simple, So Do It Before You Invest</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/15/saving-money-is-simple-so-do-it-before-you-invest/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 05:01:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sam Rolley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Personal Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spending & Saving]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[To be a maverick saver, you must come up with a way to save about one-third of your after-tax income each year. Here are some tips to help you make that ambitious goal a reality.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2369&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Investing is often considered the best way to get your money to work for you. But if you&#8217;re a beginning investor, there are a number of hurdles and a long learning curve that could derail your financial future if you jump into investments without proper planning. That&#8217;s why it may make more sense to focus your attention on becoming a maverick money saver before attempting to be a good at investing. </p>
<p>To be a maverick saver, you must come up with a way to save about one-third of your after-tax income each year. Here are some tips to help you make that ambitious goal a reality. </p>
<p><strong>Be savvy with your credit cards. </strong></p>
<p>If you must have credit cards, go about it in a smart way. First, contact your credit card company and attempt to get a lower rate. Be persistent. If the company will not work with you, take your business elsewhere. Consider this if you&#8217;re still reluctant to haggle relentlessly with creditors: With a $5,000 credit card balance, even a paltry 3 percent rate reduction saves you $150 a year. </p>
<p>Next, make it harder to use your credit cards so that you avoid racking up interest on impulse buys. Take the cards out of your wallet and replace them with a small amount of emergency cash. If it turns out that you have a truly interest-worthy emergency on your hands, you will then have time to make sure you really need to &#8220;charge it&#8221; while you pick up your card from home. </p>
<p><strong>Religiously use the 30-day rule. </strong></p>
<p>If you are about to spend money that isn&#8217;t directly necessary to your survival (i.e., food, shelter, medical emergency), wait 30 days to be sure you really need to spend the money. Create a list of things that you are considering buying and re-evaluate your planned expenditures once a month. If you decide to go ahead with the purchase, it&#8217;s likely a good investment; if not, you will likely see where you&#8217;re wasting a lot of money time and again. </p>
<p><strong>Yard sales are great.</strong></p>
<p>Yard sales offer many money-saving opportunities. Have a yard sale and make money getting rid of your unwanted junk<strong>. </strong>Go to yard sales and you may find something on your 30-day list at a discount you simply can&#8217;t pass up. Either way, you will be occupying time that you might otherwise pass by spending money to entertaining yourself. </p>
<p><strong>Become handy.</strong></p>
<p>Americans spend a great deal of money each year on things that they could do themselves. When something breaks around the house, unless there is a chance that you will electrocute yourself or blow something up in the process, try to fix it. There are a number of resources available online to help you through just about any handyman scenario.</p>
<p>You can also save money by preforming minor routine maintenance on your vehicle and home appliances. By proactively keeping everything in good working order, you can avoid nasty repair bills for major malfunctions later on. </p>
<p>Saving one-third or more of your after-tax income is totally doable when you add to the above money-saving tips an effort to cut food expenses, spending on vices like alcohol and tobacco, and costly entertainment expenditures. Once you&#8217;ve reached your savings goals, you will be in a better position to put the money you&#8217;ve set aside to work for you.</p>
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		<title>My Three Proven Keys To Contrarian Investing</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/15/my-three-proven-keys-to-contrarian-investing/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2013 05:01:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Louis Basenese</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Over the course of my career, I've gone out on a limb multiple times. In isolation, each bold call seems wonderfully lucky &#8212; and can be quickly ignored. Collectively, however, these predictions can't be so easily dismissed. So how'd I do it? Simply put, I cheated.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2366&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the course of my career, I&#8217;ve gone out on a limb multiple times.</p>
<blockquote><ul type="disc">
<li>In the summer of 2008, when oil topped $140 barrel and Wall Street banks predicted a &#8220;super spike&#8221; to $200, I told readers to sell it short. Within five months, oil tanked more than 70 percent.</li>
<li>In August 2009, <em>everyone </em>hated the U.S. dollar. Heck, foreign governments even publicly jawboned about the need for a stronger reserve currency. And the euro was everyone&#8217;s choice as a replacement, which seems laughable now. Yet I told readers to bet <em>on</em> the almighty dollar and bet <em>against</em> the euro. Those who listened profited handsomely.</li>
<li>I insisted that readers buy the auction house <strong>Sotheby&#8217;s</strong> (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=BID">BID</a>) when everyone else thought it was heading for the chopping block.</li>
<li>Then I urged a bullish stance on <strong>JDS Uniphase</strong> (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=JDSU">JDSU</a>) when everyone else left it for dead.</li>
<li>And there&#8217;s no doubt that longtime readers recall my multiple recommendations to short <strong>Facebook</strong> (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=FB">FB</a>) &mdash; before it even went public.</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
<p>Now, I&#8217;m not bringing any of this up to brag. Instead, I want to prove a point.</p>
<p>In isolation, each bold call above seems wonderfully lucky &mdash; and can be quickly ignored. </p>
<p> Collectively, however, these predictions can&#8217;t be so easily dismissed.</p>
<p>So how&#8217;d I do it?</p>
<p>Simply put, I cheated. That is, I relied on the help of the world&#8217;s greatest investors. And today, I want to show you how you can do it, too.</p>
<p><strong>You&#8217;re Either A Contrarian Or A Victim</strong></p>
<p>It may shock you, but unlike everyday Wall Street types, the world&#8217;s greatest investors don&#8217;t believe in keeping secrets. They freely share their profit strategies.</p>
<p>Mind you, this benevolence doesn&#8217;t come just from their exploding net worth. They just have zero confidence in the average investor&#8217;s ability to master their strategies.</p>
<p>We&#8217;re certainly not average investors, though. And I have all the confidence in the world that we can put their invaluable insights to work for our ultimate profit:</p>
<blockquote><ul type="disc">
<li>From Sir John Templeton we get this nugget of wisdom: &#8220;It is impossible to produce superior performance unless you do something that is different from the majority.&#8221;</li>
<li>Warren Buffett advises: &#8220;Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.&#8221;</li>
<li>And Silicon Valley venture-capitalist extraordinaire Bill Gurley says: &#8220;You can only make money by being right about something that most people think is wrong.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
<p>To sum them all up, the key to minting riches in the stock market boils down to this: Be a contrarian.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s easier said than done, of course. But it&#8217;s imperative if we want to maximize our profits.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve spent the better part of a decade fine-tuning my contrarian investing skills. I&#8217;ve taken some lumps along the way. After all, nobody&#8217;s perfect.</p>
<p>In the process, though, I&#8217;ve been able to boil down contrarian investing to three simple, yet powerful, keys.</p>
<p>Follow them, and I&#8217;m absolutely convinced you&#8217;ll become a more disciplined and profitable investor.</p>
<p>Just check out the latest issue of <a href="http://wsdinsider.com/category/members-only/wsd-insider/"><em>WSD Insider</em></a> to see exactly what these keys are.</p>
<p>Ahead of the tape,</p>
<p><em>&mdash; Louis Basenese</em></p>
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		<title>The Business Of Sports And Investing</title>
		<link>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/13/the-business-of-sports-and-investing/</link>
		<comments>http://libertyinvestor.com/2013/05/13/the-business-of-sports-and-investing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 May 2013 05:02:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>GS Early</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Liberty Investor Alert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Observation & Opinion]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Usually, buying into sports teams means buying into a smallish overseas soccer organization or buying a U.S. conglomerate that isn't a sports franchise in and of itself. But one team that has hit the news recently is different from many of the sports team investments out there.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=libertyinvestor.com&#038;blog=37184372&#038;post=2352&#038;subd=libertyinvestorcom&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are very few sports teams that individual investors can buy.</p>
<p>To some extent, it has to do with transparency. Whether it&#8217;s football, baseball, basketball soccer or racing, owners are a very elite club. They don&#8217;t want people looking over their shoulders, scrutinizing payrolls (theirs or their players) or investigating how cash flows through the system.</p>
<p>And even those clubs that do allow investing have to deal with vicissitudes of competition. The stocks ebb and flow on the performance of the team, which means they move more often than earnings reports.</p>
<p>Usually, buying into sports teams means buying into a smallish overseas soccer organization or buying a U.S. conglomerate that isn&#8217;t a sports franchise in and of itself.</p>
<p>For example, the Boston Red Sox are owned by <strong>The New York Times Company (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=NYT" target="_blank">NYT</a>)</strong>, ironically. The Miami Heat is controlled by <strong>Carnival Corporation (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=CCL" target="_blank">CCL</a>) </strong>cruise lines. <strong>The Madison Square Garden Company (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=MSG" target="_blank">MSG</a>)</strong> owns the New York Knicks, the New York Rangers, the WNBA team the New York Liberty and the minor league hockey team Connecticut Whales. But it also owns a number of venues around the Nation and some broadcast properties, so it&#8217;s not really a sports stock in the purest sense.</p>
<p><strong>An Exception To The Rule</strong></p>
<p>But one team that has hit the news recently is different from many of the sports team investments out there.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s the English soccer team <strong>Manchester United (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=MANU" target="_blank">MANU</a>)</strong>.</p>
<p>They&#8217;re like the Dallas Cowboys of soccer, likely the most recognized team on the face of the Earth.</p>
<p>What&#8217;s more, they&#8217;re owned by Americans: the Glazer brothers who own the NFL&#8217;s Tampa Bay Buccaneers.</p>
<p>Add to that the fact that the team&#8217;s coach for the past 27 seasons, one of the winningest coaches in the history of sports, announced he&#8217;s retiring next month and moving from the pitch to the boardroom.</p>
<p>I mean, this guy is such an amazing coach, he has been knighted by the Queen of England. And he&#8217;s a Scot! That&#8217;s a feat in and of itself. I&#8217;m an Arsenal fan, and even I have to tip my hat to Sir Alex Ferguson&#8217;s achievements (and happily usher him into retirement as well). No coach inspires more ire and awe from his colleagues and opponents than this man.</p>
<p><strong>The Larger Point</strong></p>
<p>But as I read the headlines and thought of what was and what&#8217;s to come, I realized that this passing of the torch can also be viewed as metaphor for many businesses.</p>
<p>The Glazers are a classic American financial outfit. They swooped into Manchester and bought the club less than a decade ago in a typical U.S.-style leveraged buyout. The club&#8217;s debt skyrocketed; and, fortunately, the Glazers hung on to Ferguson and let him spend on talent.</p>
<p>Many people in Manchester did not like the way the Glazers went about any of this. They put a historic football franchise at risk in a U.S. capital markets experiment. Fortunately, they had Ferguson to walk the line between traditional expectations and new corporate expectations.</p>
<p>And Ferguson navigated a profitable course for both bases.</p>
<p>Then, late last year, the Glazers and their phalanx of lawyers saw their next opportunity: going public.</p>
<p>Doing so would pay off some debt, spread the rest of the debt around so that it was off of their necks and maybe kick over a nice bonus to owners and front office staff. But they didn&#8217;t simply list; they found a loophole that set them up. From <a href="http://youthfulinvestor.com/manchester-united-ipo-legal-goal/" target="_self">a piece on the whole deal on the investing site Youthful Investor</a>: </p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Manchester United took advantage of the ambiguous legal wording to sidestep US legislation that&#8217;s intended to cut unemployment in the States by qualifying as an &#8216;emerging growth&#8217; company. This means that the best known football club in the world falls dodges disclosure and reporting requirements that almost any other company of a similar size issuing an IPO in the US would be required to adhere to.</p>
<p> The law that they&#8217;ve managed to wriggle around, snappily entitled the &#8216;Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act&#8217; (JOBS Act) was pushed through congress in April and ratified by President Obama. It is designed to make it easier for small companies to raise capital (particularly start-up capital) and create new jobs.&#8221; </p></blockquote>
<p>The problem with being this clever is, no one knows who is being played at the expense at the other. Are the fans and new investors the bags holders for the Glazers? Will there be repercussions in the United States? </p>
<p>No one on either side of the pond likes bounders or cads. So investing in the stock is tough, because it&#8217;s not solely investing in the team but also in the Glazers&#8217; financial wheeling and dealings. </p>
<p><strong>One True Thing</strong></p>
<p>On the other hand, one thing both fans and investors knew was true was the constancy of their manager. And now he is gone. </p>
<p>Some have compared his leaving to Steve Jobs&#8217; leaving <strong>Apple (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=AAPL" target="_blank">AAPL</a>)</strong> or the current leadership change at <strong>Walmart (<a href="http://libertyinvestor.com/stock-details/?symbol=WMT" target="_blank">WMT</a>). </strong>I wouldn&#8217;t disagree with that. The visibility of this team is immense, and this decision making process will be scrutinized the world over. </p>
<p>And given the distrust of the Glazers&#8217; fast and aggressive financial style, the question is whether they move for big-name, flashy managers who rotate in and out like Italian governments or whether they invest in a Ferguson-style coach who will lead the team the next couple decades. </p>
<p>Sound familiar to the challenges in the corporate world? </p>
<p>Well, they made their choice quickly and decisively, before the pundits could print and prophesize and hand-wring too much about it.</p>
<p>They went with continuity. They brought in a proven leader who has done much with little and turned promising players into world-class talents year in and year out. He&#8217;s well respected and has earned the spot through talent, not celebrity. And he&#8217;s a Scot!</p>
<p>As much as this Gunner fan hates to write this, MANU may be a very good buy here.</p>
<p><em>&mdash; GS Early</em></p>
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